WFA Analysis 2025+

2025 sees the unification of the Flat Weight For Age scale across Europe in a further attempt to reduce 3yo advantages at longer distances. The major change is that an average 1lb is shaved off 3yo allowances at 14f+. There are no changes to 3yo allowances at 10-13f where reductions would also be warranted according to our previous study.

	5f	6f	7f	8-9f	10-11f	12-13f	14f+	ALL
3yos	0.82	0.86	0.93	0.95	1.18	1.28	1.40	1.01
4yos	0.88	1.14	1.32	1.05	0.88	0.85	1.03	1.05
5yos	1.42	1.05	1.06	1.07	0.71	0.75	0.94	1.04
6yos	0.92	1.16	0.87	0.64	0.72	0.83	0.80	0.88
7yos	1.04	0.74	0.44	1.51	1.03	1.13	0.41	0.91
8yos	0.85	1.37	1.28	0.47	1.26	0.00	0.54	0.89
9yos+	1.22	0.80	0.38	1.25	1.11	0.39	0.57	0.88

The table above shows significance* by age and distance in all-aged Flat handicaps from 01/01/25 TO 13/10/25 (ie: since the change). Only statistics from samples of at least 500 runners are highlighted and colour-coded according to their significance. Hover over values for wins, runs and strike-rates (desktop browsers only).

*Significance is expressed as how many times as likely a runner will win compared to the average runner (a significance of 1.00 means equally as likely to win as the average runner). This is similar to win strike-rate but accounts for field-sizes.